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100 Years of Science

D. Carrigan - Fermilab                                                        July 7, 2004

30

Computing and the future

Computing speed

Speed of human brain - 200*103 Giga computations/s (Kurzweil) or  

  105 times this computer.

  Kurzweil calls the crossover a singularity

     (maybe better is “phase change”)

  Cross over point is 2020 to 2030 at present rate of progress

QCD - 1000 Giga Flops – getting in range

Quantum computing

Problems and challenges

  viruses

  the approach of the Kurzweil “singularity” (or phase change)

  qualifying internet and World Wide Web

  qualifying programs

  and …theories of computing, knowledge, mind

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