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Appendix 3 Multivariate Risk-Factor Equation for In-Hospital / 30-Day Deaths During or Following PCI in New York State, 2006-2008 (All Cases) Logistic Regression

Patient Risk Factor Demographic Age: Number of years > 60 Body Mass Index > 40 (morbidly obese) Female Gender

Hemodynamic State Unstable

Ventricular Function Ejection Fraction Ejection Fraction 50% or more Ejection Fraction less than 20 % Ejection Fraction 20-29 % Ejection Fraction 30-39 % Ejection Fraction 40-49 % Pre-Procedural MI No Previous MI MI with ST Elevation: MI < 12 hours MI 12-23 hours MI without ST Elevation MI < 6 hours MI 6-23 hours MI With or Without ST Elevation MI 1-7 days MI 8 – 20 days MI > 21 days

Comorbidities Cerebrovascular Disease COPD CHF, Current Diabetes, requiring medication Malignant Ventricular Arrhythmia Peripheral Vascular Disease Renal Failure

No Renal Failure Renal Failure, Creatinine 1.2 - 1.5 mg/dl Renal Failure, Creatinine 1.6 – 2.5 mg/dl Renal Failure, Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl Renal Failure, Requiring Dialysis

Vessels Diseased

Number of Vessels Diseased Fewer than Two Vessels Diseased Two Vessels Diseased Three Vessels Diseased Left Main Disease

Sum of Risk Factors Squared

11.50

1.3216

<.0001

3.749

1.42

1.2239

<.0001

3.401

19.12

0.3180

0.0029

1.374

73.94

---Reference---

1.000

0.80

1.4461

<.0001

4.246

3.37

1.0305

<.0001

2.802

7.03

0.7995

<.0001

2.224

14.86

0.3510

0.0001

1.420

67.14

---Reference---

1.000

22.92

0.4276

<.0001

1.534

6.98

0.9264

<.0001

2.526

0.90

1.2595

<.0001

3.524

2.06

1.6577

<.0001

5.247

---

0.0568

<.0001

1.058

5.43

0.5751

<.0001

1.777

31.99

0.5451

<.0001

1.725

8.43

2.3073

<.0001

10.047

1.13

1.9652

<.0001

7.136

7.80

0.4918

<.0001

1.635

6.28

0.8725

<.0001

2.393

5.23

0.8535

<.0001

2.348

32.88

0.3419

<.0001

1.408

0.53

1.4336

<.0001

4.194

7.13

0.5734

<.0001

1.774

55.14

---Reference---

1.000

31.27

0.3869

<.0001

1.472

13.59

0.6210

<.0001

1.861

3.76

0.5790

<.0001

1.784

-0.0225

0.0008

0.978

Prevalence (%)

Coefficient

P-Value

Odds Ratio

0.45

6.879

1.000

0.52

2.0342

<.0001

7.646

1.92

1.3566

<.0001

3.883

1.9284

<.0001

55.96

  • ---

    Reference---

Intercept

=

-7.4106

C Statistic =

0.851

50

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