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Philipp Hildebrand: Overview of the Swiss and global economy - page 4 / 5

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Conditional inflation forecast of March 2011 and of June 2011

Percentage change in national consumer price index from previous year

Inflation

Forecast March 2011 (with Libor at 0.25%)

Forecast June 2011 (with Libor at 0.25%)

%

3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0

  • 0.5

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

2. 5

2. 7

3. 0

1. 6

0.0 - 0.7 -1.0 -0.2

1.1

1. 0

20 0 9

20 10

Observed inflation June 2011

2008

I nf l at i on

2011

Q3

Q4

Q1

0.3

0.3

0.6

Q2

Q3

Q4

20 0 8

20 0 9

2010

2. 4

- 0.5

0.7

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

0.4

0.5

1. 2

1. 0

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.3

1.5

1. 8

2. 1

2. 5

0.5

1. 4

1. 3

1. 0

0.9

1.0

1.2

1.4

1. 6

1. 8

2. 2

2. 6

0.8

1. 1

2. 0

0.9

1. 0

1. 7

Conditional inflation forecast of March 2011 with Libor at 0.25% and of June 2011 with Libor at 0.25%

2011

2012

20 13

2014

2011

2012

2013

Forecast Mar ch 2011, Li bor at 0.25%

Forecast June 2011, Li bor at 0.25%

Q2

Q3

Q4

BIS central bankers’ speeches

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