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G.B. Reschenthaler & Fred Thompson

Appendix.

Table 3. Imaginary Mix of Crisis Properties

(Variable factors in Italics)

                 Factor                                                          Strength (1-5) in case

                                                                             A                            B                         C

a. Consensus on seriousness

    of the crisis.                                               strong (2)                strong (2)                strong (2)     

b. Overall magnitude.       devastating (1),       destructive (3)         destructive  (1)     

                                    not debilitating        but irreversible  

c. Speed of crisis unfolding :                   abrupt, rapid (1)    expected w/in 2 (3)   slowly over  (4)

                                                                                        mngt generat.            4+ pol  generat.

d. Propagation of effects       regional (2)             regional (2)             regional (2)          

                                                          effects                     effects     effects

e. Perceived duration of effects                    short term (1)          moderate (3)          indeterminate(5)                                         

                                                                       5-10 yrs                   10-20 yrs                 mgt generat.

f.  Knowledge of causes and consequences.   patchy,  (3)             patchy,  (3)             patchy,  (3)

                                                                        some available        some available       some available

 h. Mix of information for                             only public (1)        equal mix (3)          mainly (5)

     diagnosis, remedy.                                     information            public/classified    classified

 i. Consensus on utility/credibility                 competitive (3)     competitive (3)          competitive (3)

    of information.                                           credibility              credibility                  credibility       

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