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Draft Chapter for Strategic Intelligence

Economic and social threats including 95%

poverty,99%

infectious disease and 95%

environmental degradation90%

Inter-State conflict75%

Internal conflict, including 90%

civil war, 80%

genocide and 95%

other large-scale atrocities95%

Nuclear, radiological, chemical, and biological weapons75%

Terrorism80%

Transnational organized crime80%

Figure 3:  OSINT Relevance to Global Security Threats

The average utility and relevant of OSINT to these global threats is—on the basis of my informed estimate—82.5%, which comes very close to the generic “80-20” rule.  We must conclude that any nation that persists in spending 99.9 percent of its intelligence funds on collecting secrets,20 and less than one half of one percent of its intelligence funds on OSINT, is quite literally, clinically insane (or insanely corrupt) at the highest levels.

In all three of the above cases, only OSINT can deliver a solution that is affordable, practical, and infinitely shareable with all stake-holders both in and out of government.

Collection

Version 2.4 dated 7 April 2006

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