US vs Iran
Asymmetric War in the Persian Gulf
Every day between 15 and 16.5 million barrels of oil transit the Strait of Hormuz. Any closure of this strait will have catastrophic consequences for the world economy. These days if there is a small hint of a production stop in some oil field in Nigeria or Gulf of Mexico, the oil prices rise by 1 to 3 dollars. Imagine how the market would react if 16 million barrel a day suddenly became unavailable. 200 dollar a barrel would be on the low side. Americans and Iranians know this as well. Iran knows that it can not confront US navy in a conventional manner. It has therefore prepared itself for asymmetric war in the Persian Gulf. Again at the forefront we see the IRGC preparing for the war. IRGC has a separate navy with 20000 personnel and a large number of reserves. It has everything from tethered mines to small fast attack ships. It also operates a number of shore based anti-ship missile systems. Iran has built a vast number of tunnels along its shores for NOOR, Silkworm and other anti-ship missiles. These systems are also placed on Iranian Islands in the Persian Gulf.
Iranian anti-ship missiles such as Noor (range 120 km) and its long-range rocket artillery system such as Fajr-5 (range 70km) equipped with radar, can create havoc in the gulf, especially for the large slow tankers passing through this strait. Equally the American ships would be vulnerable to these missiles. They have to keep well away from the Iranian shores, which is very difficult since all of the American supply ships have to pass through this strait as well. Destroying these missiles is not easy either. Most are mobile and kept in bunkers and tunnels. Others are
Dr. Abbas Bakhtiar