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BRUCE D. MEYER AND DAN T. ROSENBAUM - page 25 / 52

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Any children

1984

0.0797

0.0107

0.1087

0.0160

Any children

1985

0.0856

0.0105

0.1199

0.0156

Any children

1986

0.0857

0.0103

0.1144

0.0153

Any children

1987

0.0880

0.0099

0.1056

0.0144

Any children

1988

0.0837

0.0096

0.0918

0.0140

Any children

1989

0.0663

0.0094

0.0745

0.0131

Any children

1990

0.0788

0.0095

0.0832

0.0136

Any children

1991

0.0823

0.0102

0.0916

0.0151

Any children

1992

0.0747

0.0106

0.0706

0.0159

Any children

1993

0.0601

0.0101

0.0830

0.0153

Any children

1994

0.0538

0.0098

0.0388

0.0145

Any children

1995

0.0405

0.0096

0.0154

0.0143

Any children

1996

0.0121

0.0097

0.0042

0.0140

Nonwhite

0.0902

0.0019

0.0727

0.0033

Hispanic

0.0405

0.0030

0.0608

0.0033

Age 19–24

0.0210

0.0024

0.0077

0.0055

Age 25–29

0.0070

0.0024

0.0107

0.0095

Age 35–39

0.0049

0.0026

0.0008

0.0052

Age 40–44

0.0108

0.0028

0.0107

0.0116

High school dropout

0.2161

0.0022

0.1512

0.0032

Some college

0.0870

0.0019

0.0989

0.0055

Bachelors

0.1441

0.0025

0.1755

0.0055

Masters

0.1295

0.0040

0.1927

0.0095

Divorced

0.0068

0.0028

0.0062

0.0052

Widowed

0.1201

0.0080

0.1218

0.0116

Any children

divorced

0.1154

0.0038

0.0720

0.0063

Any children

widowed

0.0978

0.0097

0.1148

0.0137

[ of children under 18

0.0404

0.0014

0.0325

0.0020

[ of children under 6

0.0955

0.0020

0.0699

0.0027

Pregnant

z

z

0.1333

0.0063

Unearned income ($1000s)

z

z

0.0035

0.0003

Central city

z

z

0.0230

0.0030

State unemployment rate (%)

0.0113

0.0008

0.0101

0.0015

Sources. The data are from the 1984 –1996 Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group File (ORG) and the 1985–1997 March Current Population Survey (March CPS).

Restrictions. See Table II for sample restrictions. Controls. Additional controls include indicators for state, year, calendar month, and calendar month interacted with any children (ORG).

Notes. Unearned income includes interest, dividend, Social Security, veterans’ benets, and retirement income. The omitted group is white, non-Hispanic, age 30 –34, never married, and not pregnant (March CPS). She does not live in a central city (March CPS) and has only a high school education. See text for details.

TABLE III PROBIT EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY ESTIMATES FOR SINGLE

WOMEN, 1984–1996

ORG, worked last week = 1

March CPS, worked last year = 1

0.0032

0.0017

119,019

THE LABOR SUPPLY OF SINGLE MOTHERS

1087

Average

Standard

Average

Standard

derivative

error

derivative

error

Number of observations

0.0017

0.0010

373,662

Any children rate (%)

state unemployment

Explanatory variable

(1)

(2)

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