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# BRUCE D. MEYER AND DAN T. ROSENBAUM - page 35 / 52

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TABLE V PROBIT ESTIMATES OF THE EFFECT OF POLICY VARIABLES ON THE EMPLOYMENT OF SINGLE WOMEN, ALTERNATIVE SPECIFICATIONS AVERAGE DERIVATIVE (STANDARD ERROR)

# THE LABOR SUPPLY OF SINGLE MOTHERS

March CPS, worked last year = 1

(8)

(7)

(6)

(5)

0.0305 (0.0133) 0.0175 (0.0148) 0.0296 (0.0038) 0.0567 (0.0107) 0.1717 (0.0348) 0.0045 (0.0044) 0.0184 (0.0125) 0.0479 (0.0223)

0.0558 (0.0087) z z 0.0445 (0.0056) 0.0882 (0.0157) 0.2665 (0.0518) 0.0107 (0.0066) 0.0350 (0.0197) 0.0703 (0.0347)

0.0253 (0.0129) z z 0.0011 (0.0092) 0.0080 (0.0144) 0.0837 (0.0501) 0.0055 (0.0049) 0.0247 (0.0141) 0.0355 (0.0238)

0.0430 (0.0074) z z 0.0291 (0.0047) 0.0644 (0.0132) 0.2056 (0.0433) 0.0079 (0.0059) z z z z

(4)

0.0055 (0.0084) 0.0263 (0.0092) 0.0340 (0.0024) 0.0766 (0.0073) 0.1950 (0.0239) 0.0095 (0.0033) 0.0128 (0.0071) 0.0215 (0.0110)

# ORG, worked last week = 1

(3)

(2)

0.0501 (0.0051) z z 0.0464 (0.0033) 0.1027 (0.0099) 0.2410 (0.0327) 0.0209 (0.0045) 0.0204 (0.0104) 0.0456 (0.0163)

0.0135 (0.0087) z z 0.0107 (0.0065) 0.0107 (0.0106) 0.1044 (0.0336) 0.0029 (0.0037) 0.0171 (0.0080) 0.0160 (0.0116)

(1)

0.0289 (0.0045) z z 0.0375 (0.0029) 0.0911 (0.0089) 0.2104 (0.0297) 0.0133 (0.0046) z z z z

# Explanatory variable

Income taxes if work in \$1000s/year Lagged income taxes if work in \$1000s/year Welfare maximum benet in \$1000s/year Welfare benet if work in \$1000s/year Probability of AFDC receipt if work Medicaid if work in \$1000s/year Waiver—any time limit (Indicator variable) Waiver—any terminations (Indicator variable)

1097

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