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TABLE V PROBIT ESTIMATES OF THE EFFECT OF POLICY VARIABLES ON THE EMPLOYMENT OF SINGLE WOMEN, ALTERNATIVE SPECIFICATIONS AVERAGE DERIVATIVE (STANDARD ERROR)

THE LABOR SUPPLY OF SINGLE MOTHERS

March CPS, worked last year = 1

(8)

(7)

(6)

(5)

0.0305 (0.0133) 0.0175 (0.0148) 0.0296 (0.0038) 0.0567 (0.0107) 0.1717 (0.0348) 0.0045 (0.0044) 0.0184 (0.0125) 0.0479 (0.0223)

0.0558 (0.0087) z z 0.0445 (0.0056) 0.0882 (0.0157) 0.2665 (0.0518) 0.0107 (0.0066) 0.0350 (0.0197) 0.0703 (0.0347)

0.0253 (0.0129) z z 0.0011 (0.0092) 0.0080 (0.0144) 0.0837 (0.0501) 0.0055 (0.0049) 0.0247 (0.0141) 0.0355 (0.0238)

0.0430 (0.0074) z z 0.0291 (0.0047) 0.0644 (0.0132) 0.2056 (0.0433) 0.0079 (0.0059) z z z z

(4)

0.0055 (0.0084) 0.0263 (0.0092) 0.0340 (0.0024) 0.0766 (0.0073) 0.1950 (0.0239) 0.0095 (0.0033) 0.0128 (0.0071) 0.0215 (0.0110)

ORG, worked last week = 1

(3)

(2)

0.0501 (0.0051) z z 0.0464 (0.0033) 0.1027 (0.0099) 0.2410 (0.0327) 0.0209 (0.0045) 0.0204 (0.0104) 0.0456 (0.0163)

0.0135 (0.0087) z z 0.0107 (0.0065) 0.0107 (0.0106) 0.1044 (0.0336) 0.0029 (0.0037) 0.0171 (0.0080) 0.0160 (0.0116)

(1)

0.0289 (0.0045) z z 0.0375 (0.0029) 0.0911 (0.0089) 0.2104 (0.0297) 0.0133 (0.0046) z z z z

Explanatory variable

Income taxes if work in $1000s/year Lagged income taxes if work in $1000s/year Welfare maximum benet in $1000s/year Welfare benet if work in $1000s/year Probability of AFDC receipt if work Medicaid if work in $1000s/year Waiver—any time limit (Indicator variable) Waiver—any terminations (Indicator variable)

1097

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