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CUADRO 10 Medidas sobre desempeño dentro de muestra: considerando desconexión

25.77

26.26 343149.6

0.1461

206338.8

Desconexión No-Lineal

36.82

37.32

86172354.9

14.2572 42327776.2

32.49

32.99

9884343.0

2.0111

5605614.8

36.63

37.13

78484051.7

13.6744

40000170.4

33.00

33.49

12725993.4

2.5901

7173309.4

26.36

26.86

461887.0

0.2338

290535.1

27.29

27.79

734263.2

0.2307

415846.9

36.42

36.91

70367898.7

11.3934

33929604.3

29.56

30.05

2281089.5

0.6087

1419005.0

29.58

30.08

2307086.6

0.6450

1449885.5

28.11

28.60

1105213.4

0.2991

643587.0

0

1

0

2

0

3

0

4

0

5

0

6

0

7

0

8

0

9

0

10

Desconexión Lineal

Red neuronal aumentada : Modelo seleccionado (completamente conectado)

  • 0

    0

MAE

RMSPE

RMSE

BIC

Variable Variable Desconectada Desconectada

Lineal

No - Lineal

AIC

MAPE

0.1169

9.2867

1.5674 8.9171 2.0839 0.1941 0.2033 7.0663 0.5554 0.6160 0.2697

26.93

479295.3

0.1745

287580.7

0.1466

26.15

324370.6

0.1402

202683.7

0.1153

26.39

365419.2

0.1490

221825.0

0.1218

26.52

390255.0

0.1551

233740.1

0.1271

26.45

376563.9

0.1558

229430.9

0.1276

26.75

436724.0

0.1664

235255.4

0.1271

26.18

328192.0

0.1415

204718.5

0.1163

26.17

327799.6

0.1422

201864.8

0.1154

26.24

338889.6

0.1416

208880.8

0.1170

26.36

359290.2

0.1447

218273.0

0.1187

27.00

495073.0

0.1690

287925.1

0.1398

27.31

579410.3

0.1990

311545.8

0.1510

26.70

427673.5

0.1642

237796.5

0.1261

ón Lineal y No- Lineal

37.04

75067170.1

11.9854 35810405.9

7.7289

32.81

9049049.4

1.8080

5078981.3

1.4176

36.95

71719490.4

12.2895

36164181.3

8.0085

33.24

11219262.4

2.2420

6251118.3

1.8043

26.39

365999.2

0.2487

251600.6

0.2032

27.74

716496.3

0.2273

418677.9

0.1960

36.83

67424958.2

10.8496

32331427.4

6.7137

30.06

2293389.4

0.6120

1427769.5

0.5586

30.11

2347789.3

0.6561

1478372.6

0.6258

28.82

1232399.7

0.3301

735128.2

0.3001

1

0

26.44

2

0

25.66

3

0

25.90

4

0

26.03

5

0

25.96

6

0

26.25

7

0

25.68

8

0

25.68

9

0

25.74

10

0

25.86

11

0

26.50

12

0

26.82

13

0

26.21

1

1

36.55

2

2

32.31

3

3

36.45

4

4

32.74

5

5

25.90

6

6

27.24

7

7

36.33

8

8

29.57

9

9

29.62

10

10

28.33

Desconexi

34

SR

82.17

70.54 75.58 73.64 77.52 75.97 81.01 70.54 77.91 75.19 79.46

76.36 72.09 78.29 73.26 82.17 74.42 75.19 80.62 74.81 75.58 80.23 77.13 80.62

67.44 69.38 75.19 70.93 78.29 79.46 69.77 76.74 71.32 73.64

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