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Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed 14th July 2004 - page 99 / 216

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  • 337.

    The dossier did not refer explicitly to the JIC’s uncertainty about the size of stocks of sarin and VX precursors, and hence Iraq’s ability to produce these agents. Nor did it, like the JIC assessments, refer explicitly to the lack of intelligence on the location of facilities for producing biological and chemical agent, although it did draw attention to the difficulty of assessing the use made of ‘dual use’ facilities.

  • 338.

    Delivery systems:

Quotations from JIC Assessments

Quotations from the dossier

Iraq told UNSCOM in the 1990s that it filled 25 Iraq told UNSCOM that it filled 25 warheads

warheads with anthrax,bolulinum toxin and

with

anthrax,botulinum

toxin

and

aflatoxin.

aflatoxin for its Al Hussein ballistic missile (range 650km). Iraq also admitted it had developed 50 chemical warheads for Al Hussein. We judge Iraq retains up to 20 Al Husseins and a limited number of launchers.

Iraq also developed chemical agent warheads for al-Hussein. Iraq admitted to producing 50 chemical warheads for al-Hussein which were intended for the delivery of a mixture of sarin and cyclosarin.

[9 September]

[Chapter 3, paragraph 14]

Iraq is also developing short-range systems Al Samoud/Ababil 100 ballistic missiles (range 150kms plus) - One intelligence report suggests that Iraq has “lost” the capability to develop warheads capable of effectively disseminating chemical and biological agent and that it would take six months to overcome the “technical difficulties”. However,both these missile systems are currently being deployed with military units and an emergency operational capability with conventional warheads is probably available.

Al-Samoud/Ababil 100 ballistic missiles (range 150kms plus): it is unclear if chemical and biological warheads have been developed for these systems,but given th e Iraqi experience on other missile systems,we judg e that Iraq has the technical expertise for doing so.

[Chapter 3, paragraph 14]

[9 September]

Iraq has probably weapons,including

dispersed its CBW

its special [The dossier] discloses weapons. planning allows for some of

that his the WMD

military

to

b

e

Intelligence also indicates that chemical and biological munitions could be with military units and ready for firing within 20–45 minutes.

ready them.

within

45

minutes

of

an

order

to

use

[Prime Minister’s Foreword]

[9 September]

Iraq has: . . . military plans for the use of chemical and biological weapons,including against its own Shia population. Some of these weapons are deployable within 45 minutes of an order to use them

[Executive Summary, paragraph 6]

85

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