Exploratory Workshop on the Social Impacts of Robotics
Daiwa Securities America Inc.
Machida concludes his overview asserting that the “intelligent robot is representative of the leading edge of technology products” and that “the growth of the industrial robot industry will bear eloquent testi- mony to our strong international competitiveness even in the area of state-of-the-art technology”. These views reflect the Japanese attitude of placing major stress on the export of intelligent robots as proof of Japan’s creativity.
Returning to the estimated demand forecast, the most substantial growth through the eighties will be the intelligent robot. Playback and NC robots will grow at an accelerating rate in the first half of the decade, but should slow down in the second half. Variable
sequence robots will also grow significantly in the first five
years but and fixed
sequence machines show growth decline significantly in value
but their total
of output will the sophisticated
In terms of production, the two processes certain to grow through- out the decade will be assembly and inspection and measurement, probably
at a rate of loading will
almost 40% annually. continue to grow but
Spot at a
welding, arc decelerating
welding, and machine rate. Spray painting
should maintain which robots are
continuous growth. produced have been
In 1985 the estimated as
production process for follows (in % of value).
Machine Tool Process 13.1
Arc Welding Inspection Spot Welding Spray Painting Molding
10.5 10.0 7.5 5.0 3.3
1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8)
How will the U.S. and Japan compare in the future? Using the U.S. definition of robots the following table- includes the latest estimates.
U.S. -Japan Comparison Industrial Robots (U. S. Definition)
Value (million $)