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Figure 11

Estimated Net Present Values (in billions of dollars) for Decision Options Under Various Conditions

I

I

L

I

M

H

1.50

1.91

2.33

1.50

1.91

2.33

1.05

1.38

1.71

1.05

1.38

1.71

0.21

0.41

0.61

High ZIP+4 Usage Option A Option B Option D Option E* Option G** Option H**

Usage

Option A Option B Option D Option E* Option G** Option H** Low ZIP+4 Usage Option A Option B

Zero ZIP+4 Usage Option C

I

I

I

I

I

i

0.82

1.12

1.41

0.90

1.21

1.51

0.93

1.24

1.09

1.43

1.77

1.17

1.52

1.87

1.19

1.55

1.07 1.51

1.42 1.93

1.77 2.35

1.12 1.57

1.48 1.99

1.84 2.42

1.14 1.59

1050 2.01

1.29 1.47

1.68 1.88

2.06 2.29

1.35 1.53

1.74 1.94

2.13 2.36

1.36 1.55

1.76 1.96

0.96 1.06

1.28 1.40

1.59 1.73

1.04 1.14

1.37 1.49

1.69 1.83

1006 1.16

1.40 1.52

0.30

0.50

0.70

0.59

0.83 1.03

1.07 1.30

0.70 0.86

0.95 1.15

0.58

0.78

0.99

0.69

0.91

1.13

0.87

1.11

L

High

M

I

Multi-line OCR Performance Rate Median

H

I

L

Low

I

M

H

L

I

M

I

*

NPVs for Option E are the same as Option A at high and median ZIP+4 use and the same as Option D at low usage.

**

NPVs for options G and H were calculated by interpolation from Options B and D (i.e. , Option G was assumed to have a NPV that split the difference between Options B and D).

NOTE:

All NPVs are incremental over Option F (cancel).

Source:

Office of Technology Assessment

53a

H

1.86 2.44

2.15 2.38

1.55 1.90

1.73 1.87

1.20 1.43

1.36

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