Verification of the National Hurricane Center’s Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlooks
Daniel P. Brown and Jamie R. Rhome Daniel.P.Brown@noaa.gov National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) routinely issues Tropical Weather Outlooks (TWO) for both the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Ocean Basins. The TWOs are text-based products that “discuss areas of disturbed weather and the potential
for tropical cyclone development during somewhat standard descriptive phrases, the
NHC attempts to convey the relative threat
cyclone formation for each system discussed in the using the NHC best-track data by assigning a low,
TWO. Those forecasts were medium, or high probability
that it is possible to distinguish the likelihood of tropical cyclone development using three-tiered approach. It is hoped that this work will lead to future possibilities of color-coded graphical version of the text NHC TWO.