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Friday, November 22nd 2002 8:30 – 9:00 Tea and coffee

9:00 – 10:15 Paper session 3: Historical and methodological analysis (Chair – Tom Stewart) Bernhard Wolf – Brunswik's concept of ecological validity Michael E. Doherty, Ryan D. Tweney, & Yanlong Sun - Alternative hypotheses and the rule of one variable. John R Leach, & Michael E. Doherty - effects of external representation and completely natural sampling on information selection.

10:15 – 10:30 Tea and coffee break

10:30 - 11:20 Discussion session 2 Issue - What is the role of time in judgment? Is there a place for time dynamics in Brunswikian thought? (Chair – Alex Kirlik. Discussants – Elise Weaver, Alex Wearing, James Hogge)

11:20 - 12:35 Paper session 4: Judgment Performance (Chair – Mandeep K. Dhami) James Shanteau & Ylva Skaner - Evaluation of expert performance: comparison of two approaches Christopher J. Anderson & Tom Stewart - Reliability and judgment competence: individual and environmental differences in multiple-cue probability learning Elise Weaver & Tom Stewart - Is judgment more than intelligence? Four factors of judgmental skill

12:35 - 2:00 Buffet lunch and Peter Juslin – Tribute to Mats Björkman

2:00 - 3:15 Paper session 5: Applications II (Chair – Neal V. Dawson) John Gillis & Frank Bernieri - Cross-cultural judgment of rapport Yuko Heath, Don Hine, & Robert Gifford - Multiple regressions or hierarchical linear models?: Comparison of the two analytical approaches in decision making in a computerized fishery-management simulation Nigel Harvey & Clare Harries - Trust in advisors: A comparison of revealed and stated measures

3:15 - 3:30 Tea and coffee break

3:30 - 4:20 Discussion session 3 Issue - How can we improve judgment? Does cognitive feedback work? (Chair – Jeryl Mumpower. Discussants - Clare Harries, Jim Holzworth)

4:20 - 4:30 Brunswik-Hammond New Investigator Prize (Awarded by Tom Stewart)

4:30 Farewell and meeting adjourned

Newsletter 2002 page 28 of 28

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