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Family Size and Family Structure - page 11 / 46

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a.  Would there be fewer poor families if divorce rates fell?

No. Divorce is not the primary culprit

Duncan and Morgan (PSID longitudinal study)

20% of families experiencing divorce fell into poverty--not enough to explain trends

Average income status loss was only 6%

Bane (PSID longitudinal study)

Majority of poor white female-heads were not poor before divorce

Only 1/3 of poor, divorced, black female-heads were not poor before divorce

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