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Early Care and Learning in New York State: - page 7 / 41





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(Title XX) dollars and TANF dollars through the Flexible Fund for Family Services in order to serve more families in the child care subsidy system.

Table 1. Percent of potentially financially eligible children not being served (adjusted for 50% uptake rate). Source: 2006 Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) from the American Community Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau.

% Children Not Served County Groups

Children served


Monroe & Wayne

exceeds upta

5% - 14%

15% - 24%

25% - 34%

35% - 44%

45% - 54%

55% - 64%


Schenectady Chemung & Schuyler Columbia & Greene New York City Rensselaer Rockland Oswego Warren & Washington Chenango & Cortland Cayuga, Madison & Onondaga Saratoga Westchester & Putnam Suffolk Ontario Steuben & Yates Orange Delaware, Otsego & Schoharie

Broome & Tioga Seneca & Tompkins Sullivan & Ulster

Jefferson & Lewis Erie Albany Nassau Herkimer & Oneida Dutchess St. Lawrence

Genesee & Orleans Allegany & Cattaraugus Fulton & Montgomery Livingston & Wyoming

Over 65%

Niagara Clinton, Essex, Franklin & Hamilton

Note: The number of children potentially financially eligible to receive child care subsidy is estimated by counting the number of children under age 12 whose family income is below 200% of the federal poverty level and with all resident parents in the workforce. The number of eligible children was compared to the annual, unduplicated number of children receiving child care subsidy funded by the NYS Child Care Block Grant during FFY 2007 while adjusting for a 50% uptake rate for use of child care services.

Projecting the Future Needs of the Child Care Delivery System There are a number of factors that can be considered in assessing the future need for child care. This section of the report focuses on trends in population and job sector growth. According to U.S. Census Bureau projections8, between 2000 and 2030, the total population of New York State is projected to increase 2.6% from 19.0 to 19.5 million people. The population under five years of age is projected to decline by only 2% from 1.24 to 1.22 million children. The population of 5 to 13 year olds is projected to decline 11% from 2.43 to 2.15 million. While the population of children of child care age is expected to decline, the potential future need for child care remains substantial, with an estimated 1.2 million young children under age 5 and a total of 3.4 million children age 13 years or less in New York State.

8 U.S. Census Bureau, 2004, Table B.1, Interim Projections of the Population by Selected Age Groups for the United States and States: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2030, at http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/projectionsagesex.html.


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